This is the second edition of my 2010 NFL Mock draft. While there weren’t a lot of changes in my Top 10 other than flip-flopping Ndamkong Suh and Gerald McCoy, we did see quite the shake-up from pick 11 down. Dez Bryant has fallen to the bottom of the 1st round as I continue to question his actions this off-season. Sergio Kindle on the other hand goes from a late 1st rounder all the way up to a Top 15 pick going to the Dolphins.
1) St. Louis Rams – Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
Bradford might not be the top rated player in the draft but he is the top rated QB. The Rams are desperate for a franchise QB and will almost certainly take one with the top pick unless they make a trade for a QB they believe can win them games before the draft.
2) Detroit Lions – Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St
The Lions must protect their big investment in Matthew Stafford by shoring up the offensive line. The Corey Williams trade allows them to patch up the middle of the line and grab the top rated OT in the draft in Okung.
3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
The Bucs find themselves with an interesting dilemma having to choose between the two DTs. Ndamuking Suh has out-preformed McCoy on the playing field and in work-outs but the experts still consider them virtually equal with many giving the nod to McCoy. I think McCoy is a better fit for the Bucs defense but everything seems to be pointing to the Bucs choosing Suh over McCoy if both are available so I am flipping to Suh…for now.
4) Washington Redskins – Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame
If Okung was available then we might have a debate with who the Redskins would take. To be honest I would not put money on the Redskins drafting Clausen. Call it a gut feeling but as it stands right now there is no one else that makes sense for the Skins at #4.
5) Kansas City Chiefs – Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
If we learned anything from last year’s draft it is that Scott Pioli is big on positional value. That alone should rule out Eric Berry from the discussion as drafting a safety with the 5th pick. Suh is a possibility because of his high rating but in the end, the Chiefs can make the biggest improvement by drafting an OT. The question now is which one they would take as there is no clear cut #2 at the moment. Bulaga might not had the press as some of the other OT in the draft but he is a solid player who can start contributing immediately, plus a mean streak that coaches love from their linemen.
6) Seattle Seahawks – Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
The Seahawks would love to grab Clausen in the draft but would have been elated to see McCoy still on the board at #6 who many considered a lock for the top 3 spots a month ago.
7) Cleveland Browns – Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Just like the Seahawks, the Browns would also love to get Clausen in the draft and likewise would be quite happy settling for the highest rated safety in the draft since Sean Taylor. The Browns secondary is a mess and Berry would go a long way to improving it immediately.
8) Oakland Raiders – Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
The Raiders drafting style is just plain laughable. Who are the biggest combine freaks at a position they need? Bam there is your pick for the Raiders. It seems like this pick will come down to Bruce Campbell or Pierre-Paul and while Campbell fills a bigger need, Pierre-Paul is the bigger freak and therefore in Al Davis’s mind is obviously the logically pick. Many folks saw the trade for Kamerion Wimbley as a sign that the Raiders wouldn’t draft a DE but he will be playing LB in their 4-3 defense.
9) Buffalo Bills – Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
The Bills need to fix their OL and Williams has been climbing up the charts and now looks like a Top 10 pick. Dan Willams the big NT from Tennessee will be another option as the Bills are switching to a 3-4 defense. However it is usually easier to find a big DT than a franchise left tackle, therefore Trent will be the Willams that the Bills select.
10) Jacksonville Jaguars – Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
The Jags signed Aaron Kapman but he is old and coming off knee surgery so I think that Morgan will be too tough to pass on. Dez Byrant is another strong possibility to give Tim Tebow <cough>, I mean David Garrard another weapon as part of the Jags front office is probably still upset with passing on Michael Crabtree last year.
11) Denver Broncos – Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
The Broncos seemed like a lock to select Dan Williams before signing Jamal Williams. After addressing most of their defensive needs with free agents, the Broncos have the luxury of drafting the top WR in the draft. I see the Broncos passing on Dez Bryant as he continues to make poor decisions and they just don’t want another headache.
12) Miami Dolphins – Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
The more I think about it the more I think the Dolphins go with a pass-rushing LB with this pick. It is a major need and Bill Parcels has a long track record of going this route. Kindle was a highly productive pass rusher in college the highest rated one left on the board. If Pierre-Paul were to slip past the Raiders then I see the Fins preferring him over Kindle.
13) San Francisco 49’ers – Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Haden has seen his stock drop after a disappointing combine but I don’t expect to see him drop too far. The 49’ers have been linked to CJ Spiller with this pick but if they are choosing between the top CB in the draft and a change-of-pace RB, I think we know the answer. If you recall this is the same situation with the Saints last year, everyone was predicting RB but they took the top CB in Malcolm Jenkins.
14) Seattle Seahawks – CJ Spiller, Ohio State
Seattle needs some excitement on offense and Spiller is just the player to do that. Pete Carroll would be bragging to people saying ‘what is so hard about this drafting stuff?’ if he could come away with Suh and Spiller as his top two picks.
15) New York Giants – Brian Price, DT, UCLA
Price hasn’t gotten a lot of press because everyone is talking about Suh and McCoy but he has quietly solidified a Top 20 spot in the draft. The Giants love drafting lineman and Price would be a nice value here.
16) Tennessee Titans – Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee
The Titans could actually go a few different directions with this pick. They have a huge need on the defensive line so taking someone like Williams makes a lot of sense but I could also see them going with a CB like Kyle Wilson, DE Everest Griffen or maybe even Bryant. Demaryius Thomas may present too much value for them to pass on.
17) San Francisco 49’ers – Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
The 49’ers have a need at OT and Campbell is the last one in that first tier who many project as a Top 10 player. If Spiller is still on the board, then I could see them selecting him here.
18) Pittsburgh Steelers – Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State-
The Steelers are thin in the secondary and would love to get a dedicated blue-collar player like Wilson. Mike Iupati is another option for the Steelers as he is nasty interior lineman that would be a great fit in Pittsburgh.
19) Atlanta Falcons – Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri
The Falcons need a lot of help in the secondary and signing Dunta Robinson allows them to consider other positions in the 1st round. Weatherspoon has the type of intangibles that you can not teach and the type of player every coach wants on their team. He made a fan out of me at the Senior Bowl where he was clearly the vocal leader on the field.
20) Houston Texans – Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State-
The Texans need a RB who they can count on contributing, if not carry, the load out of this draft. Matthews is a bit of a reach at #20 but I don’t think the risk waiting to grab their back.
21) Cincinnati Bengals – Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan
I could see the Bengals going with a TE, Safety or a DE with this pick. Earl Thomas is the player I would select if I was the Bengals but I think they will see Graham as a better value. If you believe that the Bengals are truly attracted to players with a criminal background then Carlos Dunlap could be the DE they are eyeing.
22) New England Patriots – Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
This pick seems like it would come down to Odrick and Sergio Kindle as both players are expected to go in this range and both fit a big need. History says that the Patriots would value the defensive lineman over a rush linebacker- so Odrick is the pick.
23) Green Bay Packers – Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida
Pouncey continues to see his stock rise and would be a perfect fit for a Packers team that has to protect their franchise QB better in ’10. Anthony Davis is another option because he has Top 10 upside but has too many question marks to pass on a sure thing like Pouncey.
24) Philadelphia Eagles – Earl Thomas, S, Texas
The Eagles are a team that often drafts lineman early regardless of their needs. However, they have been missing the presence of Brian Dawkins in the secondary and will be skipping to the podium to have a chance at Thomas.
25) Baltimore Ravens – Devin McCourty, CB
The Ravens will be looking for a CB early in the draft and while Jermaine Gresham is an option here, I think they will see value in the next few rounds at the TE position and choose to grab the fast rising McCourty.
26) Arizona Cardinals – Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
The Cardinals have need at OT and also at the LB position but as the Cardinals transition to more of a balance attack Gresham would be a great pick here. OT like Charles Brown and Anthony Davis will be considered here as will OLB Jerry Hughes.
27) Dallas Cowboys – Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
The Cowboys don’t usually draft OL in the 1st round and even if Mike Iupatithis is the perfect of a fit, I just don’t see Jerry Jones selecting a guard in the 1st round. Bryant has seen his stock drop more dramatically than anyone as he went from a lock in the Top 10 to falling almost out of the 1st round completely. Since my mock doesn’t factor in trades Bryant falls to the Cowboys but on draft day I see someone trading up to grab him in the 17-22 range if indeed he does start to fall. Even if Bryant is gone, I could see someone like Golden Tate or DeMaryius Thomas getting selected here.
28) San Diego Chargers – Terrence Cody, DT, Alabama
The Chargers will be looking for a running back but won’t find one worthy of the 28th pick. Instead they will look to replace Jamal Williams with a prototypical 3-4 NT in Cody.
29) New York Jets – Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech
The Jets had a glaring need at CB but at least temporarily filled that with the trade for Antonio Cromartie. This will allow the Jets to add another weapon for Marc Sanchez in Thomas. Golden Tate might be a better fit opposite Braylon Edwards but Thomas is just too good to pass up on.
30) Minnesota Vikings – Mike Iupati, OG, Idaho
The Vikings had a need last year with the interior line and looked poised to take Alex Mack before the Browns jumped in front of them and they had to ‘settle’ for Percy Harvin. While Harvin looks to be an exciting play-maker, the Vikings struggled to run up the middle. Iupati will be an excellent selection if he makes it to them at #30.
31) Indianapolis Colts – Charles Brown, OT, USC
The Colts are one of these teams that tend to draft the best player available. They could use more depth on the offensive line and Brown has moved ahead of Anthony Davis who is sliding in the draft do to a poor combine and work outs
32) New Orleans Saints – Everson Griffen, DE, USC
Griffen is the type of playing that could easily go in the Top 20 or fall out of the 1st round. The Saints have a need at DE and as things have fallen in this mock will have the luxury of choosing between Griffen and Carlos Dunlap who is another player that could go in the mid-1st round.